Space Trends

Asimov Trends in Astounding Magazine

Here’s another piece of Isaac Asimov memorabilia, following my post a few months ago about his visit to Britain 50 years ago. It’s the original magazine appearance of one of his very first short stories, “Trends”, in the July 1939 issue of Astounding Science Fiction. I put my own book The Space Business in the same shot mainly to prove that I do really own a copy of the magazine, although it does have some vague relevance to the subject I want to talk about.

In that earlier post about Asimov, I mentioned getting him to sign my copy of The Early Asimov vol 3. At that point I’d already got the first two volumes, and “Trends” is included in vol 1. That means I would have read it in late 1973 or early 1974, not long after the last of the Apollo Moon landings which I followed avidly. So to me at that time, “Trends” – which describes a very different vision of the first lunar space mission – would have seemed very dated. The idea that the general public would be openly hostile to spaceflight, and that the government would seek to hinder rather than embrace it, were totally at odds with the way things were 50 years ago. But now that we’re well and truly in the “future” (i.e. the 21st century), they’re starting to look distinctly less far-fetched.

On the government side, the biggest problem for human spaceflight seems to be lack of political motivation. America’s need to prove that it was the world’s top technological nation in the 1960s led to the Apollo program, and the joint desire of Russia, the US and Europe to appear to be the best of friends by the 1990s led to the International Space Station. But there’s no geopolitical priority of the same order today, with the result that very little happens. As we approach the end of 2024, it’s worth remembering that NASA’s Artemis program was originally supposed to put Americans back on the Moon this year. But that hasn’t happened. There was an uncrewed Artemis flight to lunar orbit and back just over 2 years ago, but there’s been no visible urgency since then to take the next step.

While the US government seems in no hurry to advance its own space program, it’s been actively hindering developments in the private sector – albeit not quite as blatantly as in Asimov’s story. With two years and counting between flights of NASA’s giant Artemis rocket, the media seemed quite impressed that SpaceX managed just a four-month gap between the 4th and 5th test flights of its own roughly equivalent Starship rocket. But the gap should have been weeks, not months – the holdup was purely government red tape, not engineering readiness.

Asimov’s story portrays government policy towards spaceflight as being driven by public hostility to the idea. What we’re actually seeing is subtly different – government apathy towards spaceflight driven by total indifference on the part of the general public. Ironically, I suspect that Asimov’s successors in the science fiction field have more than a little to do with this. Blockbuster Hollywood movies are now so exciting and visually spectacular that real-world spaceflight can’t hope to compete. Or as I wrote in a recent book review, “It’s a sad fact that space is only seen as cool when it’s fictional; as soon as it becomes factual then it’s strictly for science nerds only.”

Isaac Asimov in Britain, June 1974

Isaac Asimov First Visit to Britain

50 years ago today I was lucky enough to see Isaac Asimov, one of the greatest science fiction authors of the 20th century, on his first visit to Britain. I wrote about this previously on my Astounding Science Fiction website, where you can see a detailed itinerary of Asimov’s trip. Most of his time was spent in London, but I saw him during his visit to Birmingham on Thursday 13 June 1974 (note that, by coincidence, today is also a Thursday).

At the time I was 16 years old, and had been reading SF (including numerous books by Asimov) for around three years. This was largely thanks to my mother, who had been a fan since before I was born. Around 6 months before Asimov’s visit, we’d discovered that Birmingham had a specialist SF bookshop called Andromeda, and that was where we found out about Asimov’s upcoming visit. It actually happened on a school day, but as I had an exam in the morning of the 13th (Chemistry O-level) it meant I had the afternoon free. Equally fortunately, my mother was able to get the day off work.

We actually went into Birmingham twice that day (we lived a 30-minute drive away): first, with one of my school friends in tow, to a book-signing session, and then (just my mother and me) to an evening lecture. The tickets for the latter are shown above, together with four copies of the souvenir booklet (two from the book signing and two from the lecture).

Needless to say, our book-signing of choice was the one at Andromeda, but prior to that we peeked in at an earlier signing session at a much larger general bookshop called Hudsons, which is where we caught our first glimpse of the great man. But it was in Andromeda a bit later that we actually queued up for autographs. Of the three of us, my mother went first, and when Asimov looked up and saw a respectable middle-aged woman – in contrast to all the scruffy young males that made up the bulk of SF fandom in those days – he did a double-take and then said “Oh, hello dear”. That not only made Mom’s day, but I think it was pretty much the high point of her life!

We actually got two autographs each, one in the souvenir booklet and one in a freshly purchased paperback book. My mother bought a new copy of The Caves of Steel, which I think was her favourite Asimov novel, while I got volume 3 of The Early Asimov, which had only just come out at the time. The latter includes the spoof article “The Endochronic Properties of Resublimated Thiotimoline”, which I discussed in detail in my book Fake Physics, where (just to show off) I included an image of the book open at Asimov’s signature. To show off a bit more, I’ll put the same picture at the bottom of this post.

The evening lecture took place at the Holiday Inn, and was organized and introduced by Dr Jack Cohen – a minor SF/pop-sci celebrity in his own right (looking at his Wikipedia article just now, I see that it says “he was one of the small group of British Mensans who persuaded science fiction author Isaac Asimov to visit the United Kingdom in June 1974”). Unlike Asimov, who I only ever saw that one time, I did see Jack Cohen on several subsequent occasions, most recently talking about his book What Does a Martian Look Like? at an event in London a few years before his death.

As for Asimov’s lecture, I retain several vivid memories of it, some of them distinctly trivial. I was struck by his strong New York accent, which wasn’t something I’d really come across before at that point (it was to become much more familiar a few months later, when the BBC began showing Kojak). I remember him saying that when he woke up after his first night in London and saw a Union Jack flying outside, he though “Aha, that must be the British Embassy”, before he realized where he was. He also complained that, although the hotel supplied plenty of towels, they didn’t provide a facecloth (which he referred to as a “washcloth”). Amazing what ridiculous things your brain chooses to remember after 50 years!

On more serious subjects, I remember him talking about environmental issues and non-renewable resources. This was the first time I ever heard the word “syllogism”, the example he gave being “Premise 1 – the Earth is finite. Premise 2 – we extract resources from the Earth. Conclusion – resources are finite”. He also described in some detail how, when Astounding Science Fiction magazine published a story about a nuclear fission weapon in 1944, its editor John Campbell received a national-security visit from the FBI (an incident I also recounted in my book Rockets and Ray Guns: The Sci-Fi Science of the Cold War). One thing that sticks in my mind is how at one point in this narrative Asimov wanted to say “confirmed”, but struggled for several seconds trying to recall the word. It’s gratifying to know that even the greatest writers are occasionally stumped for words!

Issac Asimov signed book